Evaluate radar echo intensity and severity from reflectivity cores.
雷达回波强度:反射率因子 Z=10^(dBZ/10),降水率 R=(Z/200)^(1/1.6) mm/h;冰雹概率由 dBZ 与回波顶高 h 联合估计;液态水含量 VIL=3.44×10⁻⁶·Z^(4/7)·h(kg/m²);按 dBZ 阈值(<30 弱对流、<50 强对流、≥55 冰雹可能、≥60 强冰雹)判定对流等级,并结合面积与强度估算降水贡献。
| Item | Formula / Note | Source / Standard |
|---|---|---|
| Echo intensity | 20–30 weak to >50 extreme | Radar operations manual |
| VIL | VIL = Σ(LWC × depth) | Greene & Clark 1972 |
| Hail signature | VIL >50 kg/m² or >55 dBZ | Waldvogel et al. |
| Composite reflectivity | Max across elevations | Radar product definition |
| Range degradation | ∝ 1/r² range dependence | Radar equation |
| QPE accuracy | 20–40% error, gauge-adjusted | WMO hydrology radar |
输入雷达回波强度、回波顶高和回波面积,综合评估对流强度等级,估算冰雹概率、垂直积分液态水含量(VIL)及区域降水量级,为强对流预警提供定量参考。